Greenback continues to slide

Yesterday’s markets

31st March 2016

  • EUR German Prelim CPI m/m: 0.8%
  • CHF KOF Economic Barometer: 102.5
  • USD ADP Non-Farm Employment Change: 200K
  • USD Crude Oil Inventories: 2.3M
  • NZD ANZ Business Confidence: 3.2

The world’s largest economy posts its most volatile piece of data this week in the form of Non-Farm payrolls. Yesterday we gained an insight into this figure with the release of the US ADP employment report. The March reading showed a better than expected 200k, narrowly exceeding its 195k forecasts. The positive data helped the Greenback erase part of yesterday’s losses against the EUR and GBP. 

The Greenback continued to weaken throughout the day yesterday, as Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen addressed the market in a dovish tone earlier this week. Yellen hinted at the possibility of a return to zero rates, and said that a cautious approach to adjusting the monetary policy is especially warranted.

Today’s markets

30th March 2016

  • EUR German Retail Sales m/m
  • EUR Spanish Flash CPI y/y
  • GBP BOE Gov Carney Speaks
  • EUR German Unemployment Change
  • GBP Current Account
  • GBP Final GDP q/q
  • GBP Net Lending to Individuals m/m
  • EUR CPI Flash Estimate y/y
  • EUR Core CPI Flash Estimate y/y
  • USD Unemployment Claims
  • USD Chicago PMI
  • USD FOMC Member Dudley Speaks
  • JPY Tankan Manufacturing Index
  • JPY Tankan Non-Manufacturing Index

The economic calendar is packed today. Firstly, the UK release its current account figure with expectations that this will fall further to -21.1B. The Bank of England Governor, Mark Carney is scheduled to speak this morning on Financial Stability. In the afternoon, the US releases its Weekly Jobless Claims figure and from the Eurozone, we have the yearly CPI reading, forecast to post -0.1%.